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I’m Buying This 7% Yield Energy Stock Nobody’s Talking About

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Hey, Zach here!

Today, I’m sharing a stock that is da-bomb. Speaking of bombs, the US took a large military action against Iran this weekend. Plus, my sister got married!

Today’s topics:

  1. I’m Buying This 7% Yield Energy Stock Nobody’s Talking About

  2. Dividend Increases This Week

  3. My New Buys This Week

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Stock Analysis

I’m Buying This 7% Yield Energy Stock Nobody’s Talking About

Why I’m Excited About HESM

  • Rare Yield-Growth Combo: 7.37% current yield with a 5-year dividend CAGR of 10.5%

  • Proven Outperformance: 192% total return over the past 5 years (23.9% annualized)

  • Under-the-Radar Opportunity: Small-cap midstream name overlooked by most Wall Street analysts

Business Overview

  • Core Operations: Transportation of crude oil, natural gas liquids & produced water in the Williston Basin (ND/SD/MT) and western Canada

  • Asset Footprint:

    • Extensive gathering pipelines (yellow on Hess site map) feeding processing plants

    • Crude pipelines (mint-colored lines) and truck/rail interconnects to major railroads (BNSF, UP, CSX, NS)

    • 550 owned crude-oil rail cars at the Tioga terminal (140k bbl/day capacity)

Dividend Profile & Safety

  • Steady Fee-Based Revenue: 85% of cash flow from fixed-fee contracts (100% fee-based, MVCs guarantee ≥80% volumes)

  • Tax Simplicity: Structured as a UPC (Umbrella Partnership C-Corp) so shareholders receive 1099-DIV (no K-1)

  • Sustainable Payout: 37% free-cash-flow payout ratio; management targets ≥5% annual dividend growth through 2027

Valuation & Price Target

  • Discounted Dividend Model:

    • 5% growth / 10% discount rate → Fair value ~$53.80 (≈28% upside)

    • 7% growth / 10% discount rate → Fair value ~$75.90 (≈97% upside)

  • Analyst Consensus: Mean target $44 (↑14%); range $41–$48

  • Margin of Safety: Undervalued at current ~$38.50 share price under multiple scenarios

Why I’m Buying Now

  • Core Dividend Growth Position: Building a meaningful stake in HSM for my long-term portfolio

  • Summer Sale Reminder: If you haven’t yet, try my preferred research tool at DividendData.com—50% off for life!

Dividend News

🚀 Dividend Raises This Week

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💰 My Buys This Week

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– Zach
Founder, Dividend Data

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Disclaimer: Dividend Dividend (Dividend Data LLC) is not a professional financial service. All materials released from Dividend Data (Dividend Data LLC) are for educational and entertainment purposes. Dividend Data (Dividend Data LLC) is not a replacement for a professional's opinion. Contributors to the Dividend Data (Dividend Data LLC) might have equities mentioned in the newsletter